Thursday, June 12, 2025

2025 Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Forecast - by Moses (a.k.a Stacey Marc Goldman)

 

Forecast for the season;  96-66 (currently 52-38)


Starters                       G  GS   QS      IP       H    BB   SO   ERA  WHIP  W L Saves  

1.  Paul Skenes           20   20    15    141.0    93   33   176   2.22     0.91    12  3       -

2.  Kevin Gausman    33  33    23    202.2   165   43   183   2.89     1.02    13  7      -

3.  Chris Bassitt         33   33   19    196.1   179   51   156   3.50     1.14    15  6      -

4.  Jose Berrios          32   32   20    196.0   167   55   170   3.28      1.13   13  8      -

5.  Max Scherzer       15   15   10     91.1    70     17     83   2.55      0.96     7  3     -

6.  Bowden Francis    13  13    3      60.1    70     24     50    6.12     1.56     2  8     -   

7.  Eric Lauer             27  21    12    115.1   92    33    110   3.07     1.08     8  4    0


Relievers         

1.  Lazaro Estrado     35   -    -       47.1    40     15     35     3.30      1.15    2    4    0

2.  Nick Sandlin          45  -    -       43.0    40     16     33     2.77      1.26    2    3    0 

3.  Mason Fluharty     56  -    -       55.2    47     17     52     4.27      1.17   5    4    0

4.  Brendon Little       61  -    -       63.1    45     13     76     2.10      0.91   3    3    6

5.  Eric Swanson        43  -    -       41.0    40     16     38     3.90      1.29   2    2    1

6.  Braydon Fisher      51  -    -       49.2   33     20     53     2.68      1.06   3    4    0

7.  Yariel Rodgriguez 60  1   0      90.2    70     30   100     2.65      1.09    5   3     4

8.  Yimi Garcia           57  -    -       55.2   43     13     65     2.27      1.01    2    3    4

9.  Jeff Hoffman        62   -    -       62.1   50     17     77     3.37      1.07    6    3   40                      

Saturday, May 31, 2025

The 2025 Toronto Blue Jays and a Trade Forecast - by Moses

 

Proposed Trade;  From the Toronto Blue Jays - 2025 1st Round Draft Pick, Dalton Varsho (OF), Chad Green (RHP), Trey Yesavage (RHP), and Paxton Schultz (RHP) to the Pittsburgh Pirates for Paul Skenes (RHP)   

Proposed Trade;  From the Toronto Blue Jays - Jonatan Clase (OF), Easton Lucas (LHP), and Nick Sandlin (RHP) to the San Diego Padres for Adrian Morejan (LHP)


As a result of the trade this is how the Blue Jays shape up;


Projected Record 96-66 (Current Record 54-39)


Manger - John Schneider


Pitching Staff


Starters

1.  Paul Skenes (RHP)  

2.  Jose Berrios (RHP)

3.  Kevin Gausman (RHP)

4.  Chris Bassitt (RHP)

5.  Eric Lauer (LHP)

6.  Max Scherzer (RHP) 

7.  Alek Manoah (RHP) @

8.  Bowden Francis (RHP) @

9.  Ricky Tiedemann (LHP)


Relievers

1.  Lazaro Estrada (RHP)

2.  Mason Fluharty (LHP)

3.  Braydon Fisher (RHP)

4.  Yariel Rodriguez (RHP)

5.  Brendan Little (LHP)

6.  Yimi Garcia (RHP) 

7.  Adrian Morejan (LHP)

8.  Jeff Hoffman (RHP)


Batting Order vs Righties

1.  Nathan Lukes (LF) bats left

2.  Bo Bichette (SS) bats right

3.  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B) bats right

4.  Addison Barger (3B/RF) bats left

5.  George Springer (RF) bats right

6.  Alejandro Kirk (C) bats right

7.  Tyler Heineman (DH/C) bats both 

8.  Myles Straw (CF) bats right

9.  Andres Gimenez (2B/3B) bats left 


Batting Order vs Lefties

1.  Bo Bichette (SS) bats right

2.  Ernie Clement (3B/2B) bats right

3.  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B) bats right

4.  George Springer (LF) bats right

5.  Alejandro Kirk (C) bats right

6.  Addison Barger (RF/3B) bats left

7.  Davis Schneider (2B/OF) bats right 

8.  Tyler Heineman (DH/C) bats both

9.  Myles Straw (CF) bats right   


Bench

1.  Tyler Heineman (C/DH) bats both 

2.  Davis Scheider (2B/OF) bats right

3.  Nathan Lukes (OF) bats left

4.  Alan Roden (OF) bats left 

  

 * - On Injured Reserve;  Daulton Varsho, and Anthony Santander

@ - on assignment in Minors

Tuesday, May 20, 2025

Possible Off-Season Moves for the Toronto Maple Leafs - by Moses

  

      Now that the Leafs season has ended there will be some attention to detail by the Leafs brass as to how to correct the problem we had in this year's playoffs.  The reality is that we didn't show up to play in games five and seven (losing both games 6-1).  It was a poor display defensively that sent us off to the golf courses.  While our core was strong through the year we now have to decide what components to downsize and where we have to add depth.  

  I think it's obvious that we need a top two defenceman to compliment Simone Benoit, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Chris Tanev, Jake McCabe, and Connor Timmins.  Now that they let Marner go to free-agency I think we should trade a 2025 1st round draft pick, Morgan Rielly and Joseph Woll to the Columbus Blue Jackets for defenseman Zach Werenski, or trade the same components to the Vancouver Canucks for defenseman Quinn Hughes.  

  This would give us a strong six defensemen to play in front of Anthony Stolarz, who was stellar in net all year long.  Joseph Woll, by his own right was a proud force in net as the two goalie approach worked in the Leafs favor this year.  In the 2023/24 playoffs Woll won two games against the Bruins only to lose the start for the final game to Samsonov in the best of seven series.  As a back-up that year Woll won twelve games (after going 6-1 the year before).  The reality is that Woll was a main cog in the success of this years Leafs.  For Christ's sake he had 41 GP with 27 wins and 14 losses with 1 OTL and a G.A.A of 2.73 and a save % of .909 and is still only 25 years of age.  Something has to give though so Dennis Hildeby looks primed to back up Stolarz for next year (and perhaps challenge for top spot as #1 goalie in a couple of years).  Hildeby had a banner year with the Marlies this last year and is a beast at 6'7".

  The fact is that at $7.5 Million U.S.D for Rielly and $3.66 Million U.S.D. for Woll makes them expendable, and makes it possible for the Leafs to ink Hughes to a long-term deal.  As a result of dealing for Quinn Hughes the Leafs gain credibility when analyzing their point of attacks, as Hughes is a scoring threat in the Raymond Bourque mold.  This is how our team would look on paper after the proposed trade with the Canucks.


Forecast for the 2025/26 Campaign;


Record

55-Wins -20 Losses with 7 OTL (117 Points)


Head Coach - Craig Berube


Goalies                            GS   W  L   OTL   G.A.A  Sa%  SO

1.  Anthony Stolarz        57    41  13    3        2.20    .925     7

2.  Dennis Hildeby          25    14  7     4        2.56    .917     3 

3.  Matt Murray  -  Minors -


Defencemen                                  GP    G     A      Pts     +/-    PIM    

1.  Quinn Hughes                         82     25    77    102     +50    60

2.  Connor Timmins                     75     12    42     54     +37    55

3.  Oliver Ekman-Larsson           80      9    25     34      +21    90        

4.  Chris Tanev                             77      5     23     28     +24    77 

5.  Simone Benoit                         80     10   17      27     +26   110  

6.  Jake McCabe                          70       5   17      22     +15   130 


Forwards

1.  Auston Matthews (C)           82    58    63    121  +33      40      

2.  William Nylander (RW/C)  80     50    50   100   +14     33 

3.  Matthew Knies (LW)           77     43    50    93    +30     59

4.  John Tavares (C)                 80     40     50   90     +16     58    

5.  Max Domi (RW)                  73     33    33    66    +14    127   

6.  Max Pacioretty (LW)          80     30    36    66    +15     19

7.  Bobby McMann (LW)        65     20    32    52    +10     55 

8.  Nick Robertson (C/LW)     81     17    30    47     +8      70  

9.  Pontus Holmberg (RW)     80     10    21    31     +7      67  

 

Monday, April 21, 2025

The 2024/25 Toronto Maple Leafs run for the Stanley Cup - by Moses (a.k.a Stacey Marc Goldman)

 

       It was 1966/67 the last time the Maple Leafs won the vaunted Stanley Cup.  Toronto used to be a great Hockey team in the sixties with Coach and G.M Punch Imlach and the likes of Frank Mahovlich, George Armstrong, Dicky Duff, Johnny Bower, and Terry Sawchuk.  The Leafs looked like they were going to do some damage in the late seventies when they had Darryl Sittler, Lanny McDonald, Borje Salming, Ian Turnbull, Jerry Butler, Tiger Williams, and Mike Pamateer, but came up short in 1977/78 losing in the Semi-Finals to the Montreal Canadians.  The fact is that Harold Ballard traded away Lanny McDonald to the Colorado Rockies for Wilf Paiement in late 1979 and it resulted into a downward spiral to Toronto for the eighties.  It is my contention that had Ballard just signed Paeiment in Free-Agency the year before and kept Lanny than the Leafs would have had a shot at being in the class of the New York Islanders in the early eighties.  The Maple Leafs had shown in the 77/78 playoffs that they could beat the Islanders as evidenced by the Leafs beating the Islanders four games to three on a game seven overtime winning goal by Lanny McDonald.  Ballard was known to give up on guys (Randy Carlyle and Jack Valiquette come to mind) and we saw the parting of ways of greats like Sittler and Palmateer who decided Ballard was too heretic to win the heralded Stanley Cup.  The team gave up on Ballard and he was not a bright spot in the minds of Leafs fans.  Had Ballard spent a dollar (like Conn Smythe did when building the prestigious Maple Leaf Gardens), the Leafs would surely have had won a few more Cups by now, but as is part of the curse.     

  Although the Leafs had their first fifty goal scorer in Rick Vaive through the eighties, they were rarely in the playoffs.  It was a hard time for the organization until Cliff Fletcher arrived on the scene.  When Fletcher orchestrated the Gilmour trade in 1991 it looked like Toronto was going to finally do it.  The Leafs looked poised in 1992/93 to reach the Stanley Cup Finals as they were the better team against the Los Angeles Kings in game six (needing just one more win).  After Kerry Fraser blew the call when Gretzky slashed Gilmour, we lost the game, and game seven to boot.  The kicker being that Fraser gave the Kings the power-play that haunted us in the overtime game of game six, just after negating the slash that Gretzky gave.  Although the Leafs made Semi-Finals in 1993/94 against the Vancouver Canucks they just couldn't get over the hump. When Sundin took the helm in the mid-late nineties we saw a competitive team but the curse was still there and although we got great goaltending in the playoffs with names like Felix Potvin, Curtis Joseph, and Eddie Belfour in the nineties we just haven't shaken the curse of Kerry Fraser and the non-call on Gretzky.

  The Leafs have been competitive in the last thirty years but we haven't even reached the Stanley Cup Finals since 1967.  The fact is that since we picked Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, William Nylander, Morgan Rielly, Bobby McMann, Joseph Woll, and Matthew Knies in the drafts from yesteryear, the Leafs have been one of the best teams in the NHL in developing their talent.  The AHL Toronto Marlies was harmonious in adopting big-club philosophy as an organization on a professional level.  In  2018/19 the Toronto Marlies won the Calder Cup with ex-Leaf coach Sheldon Keefe at the helm and the Marlies have been a top AHL team over the past 10 years.  The Leafs also signed Free-Agent John Tavares in 2018 and he has provided us with perhaps the best second line Centerman in the game neigh Leon Draisaitl.  The Toronto Maple Leafs have shown this year with Coach Craig Berube that they are resilient and efficient as a team.  The Leafs play excellent defense and their top two lines are always dangerous.  The third line consists of Scott Laughton, Bobby McMann, and Max Domi and on the fourth line Pontus Holmberg, Steven Lorentz, and Calle Jarnkrok  Both lines are excellent defensively and the reason as to why Brendan Shanahan picked up Scott Laughton at the trade deadline.  The first line of Matthews, Marner, and Knies is one of the best lines in the game and by saying that, our second line of Tavares, Nylander, and Pacioretty makes our offence formidable. 

 We witnessed the first playoff series for Toronto versus the Ottawa Senators in round one.  While the Maple Leafs cruised to three straight wins to start the series with provincial rivals Ottawa, the Senators responded with two wins to deflate the Leafs.  The Leafs came back in game six to close out the series finding resiliency yet again (as has been the case all year), as after losing another two goal lead they miraculously regained it in the third period to finish off Ottawa for good.  The Leafs are now up against a Florida team with a great net-minder in Sergei Bobrovsky.  In net for the Toronto Maple Leafs to start this year's playoffs was Anthony Stolarz.  Stolarz was the NHL leader in save % this year ranking .01 point higher than Connor Hellebucyk with a mark of 0.926.  This was Stolarz first time starting through a post season and he looked poised to deliver after the Ottawa series.  The Leafs had to have Joseph Woll step in when Stolarz went down in game one against Florida on a cheap-shot by Sam Bennett.  While Woll allowed some goals in games one and two against the Panthers, he came out with two wins.  When the series moved to Florida for games three and four, it is hard to fault Woll for the two losses (as he lost in overtime in game three, and a game four in which he only allowed two goals on 37 shots).  The truth of game four is that Florida clearly outplayed and outshot Toronto and only had two goals to speak of as a result of a brilliant performance by Woll.     

  Florida is a team well coached by Paul Maurice.  The Leafs looked stronger on paper and with the magic Craig Berube has been showing in overtime games this year anything's possible.  With Stolarz and Bobrovsky cancelling each-other out in terms of advantages (as they're both considered to be top five goalies in the NHL today), now that Woll is in the Panthers may have the advantage in net-minding.  Toronto's second line is dominant to Florida's second line.  John Tavares and William Nylander on the second line is going to destroy their second line unless they're pitted against the Panthers first line.  At that point the Matthews and Marner line would be freed up to dominate the series.  Since the Panthers ran Stolarz in game one of the series, time will tell if Woll can play stopper for the Leafs.  Woll looked good in game four and going into this Wednesday night's game five in Toronto anything's possible.  

  Time will tell in these playoffs whether acquiring Scott Laughton from Philadelphia at the trade deadline was a smart move by Brendan Shanahan.  The reality is that Laughton is a quality center-man, a Jerry Butler type player, who has engineered a 21-9 run since he came to Toronto.  My prediction for the series going in was the Toronto Maple Leafs in Five Games.  I believed Stolarz would have shined the rest of the way but since game one when Florida's Sam Bennett took out Anthony Stolarz with a cheap elbow, we now see Joseph Woll in net for the Leafs.  To this writer Woll looks poised to whip off a shutout of Florida in game five.  It was exciting to see so much of the offensive cog show up in the Senators series.  William Nylander, Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews, John Tavares, and Matthew Knies all showed up in that round and shined offensively.  Matthews, Marner with Knies haven't looked good in the Florida series to date but that could change Wednesday night.   

  Of course a Coach has to get accredited to be associated with such a fine team, and wasn't it funny that Berube had Max Domi on the ice in overtime in game two against Ottawa resulting in a game winning goal.  Ironically  It was another tertiary scoring threat that came through in a game three overtime against the Senators when Simon Benoit whipped one home for victory.  With Craig Berube at the helm the Leafs seemingly had an answer for any given threat deep in a hockey game as we have brought our A-game all year when overtime hits.  I look for Matthew Knies and Bobby McMann to pick up their socks a little bit for the rest of the Panthers series as secondary scoring.  The production that remains to be seen is whether Matthews, Marner, Nylander, and Tavares can get hot for the rest of the playoffs.  We also see another scoring option with Max Pacioretty as he has been one of the better forwards at this point of the Panthers series and that is a nice cushion to have.  It looks like Toronto has a strong advantage in their top three lines.   

Forecast for Game Five - Toronto Maple Leafs Lines

Line 1

LW - Matthew Knies      C - Auston Matthews     RW - Mitch Marner

Line 2

LW - Max Pacioretty   C - John Tavares   RW - William Nylander

Line 3

LW - Bobby McMann  C - Scott Laughton RW - Max Domi RW

Line 4

LW - Pontus Holmberg  C - Calle Jarnkrok  RW -  Steven Lorentz