Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Political Forecast for 2012 -by Pindsvin



If you have ever had the unfortunate experience of a long fall, you will know that there is absolutely nothing that you can do about your situation till after you hit bottom. This is kind of how I see our current political situation. Fortunately, I live in Canada which will be one of the few places on the planet that have some cushion to land on.

The reason that I call this a Forecast, rather than a prediction, is that these trends are already well on the way.

If you are one of the masses in north America who get most of their news on TV, in magazines such as Times or News Week, or even in news papers you will, you have been receiving very censured information. There are two main types of censorship in the West. The most common type is to give several different opinions or explanations of a situation or event, and then ridicule the ones you don’t like. The second method is to tag it racist, anti, phobic, extremist left or right on a person or organization.

If you look up some major newspapers front pages from the year 1912 you will be totally amazed at how totally unaware the politicians or decision makers were of the disastrous precipice they were sitting on. Absolutely no one believed that the world would be in total war in less than two years. We are at the point of a world war, but not a war that will be fought with guns and bombs. I will certainly write more on this subject in future articles.

Now, to my political forecasts for 2012. The American political stalemate will finally end with Obama loosing the Presidential election to Newt Gingrich. Just kidding. Obama will be re-elected by about 51% majority. The American political scene will remain almost deadlocked and ineffective. America will start to move away from being the global policeman, and focus on serious problems at home.

The EU will do everything in can to postpone the inevitable. The fact that it does not work. The EU will fail. The German and French governments will do everything they can do to postpone the financial crash till 2013. It will be a close call this year, but I think the bottom will not fall out till the following year. The EU will eventually return to what it was meant to be at the beginning, a Common Market.
The big story this year have been the Arab Spring. If you have ever read history, especially the French Revolution there are too many similarities. After the Dictators and Kings have all been killed or run off, these so called countries will be left with three groups all jostling for power. The first group that started the uprisings were the young educated class who want western democracy. The second is the Muslim Brotherhood, and of course the third group is the Generals. You do not need to be a political scientist to see that the Generals and the Muslim Brotherhood will make a deal with each other and screw the democrats’. These new governments will become what I call Religious Fascism. The young democrats will be under a whole new set of repressions.

What I would like to see in the West is a new awareness of what is happening behind the scene. Our top politicians and bankers know what is going on, but will not take this on because of self interests. The first is the West continuing losing power and influence to the East. To make money you have to manufacture things to sell. Being mainly a consumer nation means a slow slide into poverty.

The second subject that the West needs to come to terms with is that the controlling powers of Islam, sees itself as at War with the West. Hopefully the Islamic countries will be engulfed in their own political turmoil for the next few years.
The hard fact for the West to come to terms with is that we cannot afford our current standard of living. The political left will oppose the political rights attempts to balance the books and pay down our debts. Te sad truth is that the conservatives caused much of the debt. The results will be a continues deadlock and little progress in most areas.

I do hope dearly that we are not at the edge as back in 1912.

Wednesday, December 14, 2011

The Occupy Movement Part 3 (the Dangers of Bureaucracy) - by Moses

In the John Grishom novel 'The Rainmaker' we saw what happens when there is corruption within the legal system, pertaining to insurance claims. A claim is sent in to the insurance company by the policy holder and the claim is automatically sent from claims to the Policy Department. When the insurance company contacts the policy holder he/she learns that their claim has now been sent to the Claims Department.  At this point, the policy holder is confused.  The pattern of contact to the company frustrates the policy holder to the point of giving up the claim to the insurance company, until eventually the policy holder gives up in trying to receive his/her claim.
These dangers of bureaucracy, or lock jam, has been intertwined into Politics. We see Liberals fight against the Conservatives in Canada, the Democrats fight against the Republicans in the U.S.A, Secular perspective fighting against Orthodox perspective...
As these paradigm viewpoints enter the fray, we see the example of claims and policies enter into Bureaucratic decision making. Essentially, this vetos' any administrative initiatives of most Democratic Nations. While Facism is not an option, at some level a decision has to be made.
While the Occupy Movement has quieted in the Canadian news over the past week, the worldwide numbers of those supporting the Global Occupy Movement has gone up, and is continuing to do so. In Sudbury, Ontario, Canada there are roughly 550 people on the Facebook page. The local movement is being pro-active in its' approach. The local movement is netwoking information that has been gathered with other cities around the World. This may seem to be a minor detail, but keep in mind that the internet didn't exist 25 years ago. Eventually this writer sees' the involvement of the United Nations with respect to the Occupy Movement. A person in Canada, in the U.S.A, in Portugal, in Egypt, will at some level be assured of basic human rights that are protected by Amnesty International and the U.N. Do we really need FEMA camps that deny people of their basic human rights in place, as opposed to protecting the existing Global Constitution that is in place today? and, why can't we house the homeless, without stripping someone of their basic human rights?

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Kibbutziim and the Occupy Movement (Part 2) - by Moses

A Kibbutz in Israel is, by nature, a commune. This form of government township was instituted in 1942 to develop a network for Jewish people in the Land of Israel (Palestine at the time) to communicate with people in the surrounding Seven Seas (including Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Ethiopia, Greece, and Egypt. There are rates of exchange through socialist economics. For example, food is free, housing is provided, and work is plentiful. The amount the Kibbutz earns' translates into a profit for the group as a whole. There is greater sensitivity towards specialized industry. For example;

1 Kibbutz does baked goods
1 Kibbutz does chocolate milk
1 Kibbutz does peaches and pears

Work is provided for everyone based on their skills. Extra hours at work translates into added vacation time. Tourism is amplified as someone from Denmark or Ethiopia is essentially a representative of another economic system and learns, as well as teaches, their ways of life when their on the Kibbutz. There is a change of work periodically for 'Kibbutzniks' (members of the Kibbutz). For example someone working in the agricultural sector of the Kibbutz will be moved to laundry duty for one month of the year, and/or dish-washing duties for one month a year likewise.

Economic growth translates into Kibbutz expansion (added 'Kibbutziim' within Israel and greater wealth for the Kibbutz itself). As 'Kibbutziim' grow in number, the Nations' population steadily increase. This is beneficial to people in barren land as the agriculture of each Kibbutz is tied into a fresh water supply that wasn't there previously. As many cities are congested in their population size, there is an advantage in having a more detailed infrastructure in barren and unpopulated rural regions. As 'Kibbutziim' (or Camps) grow in number, fresh water becomes accessible to more people in areas that didn't have fresh water previously.

Each member of the Kibbutz receives an equal financial arrangement. For example, each member of the Kibbutz is paid a nominal $15,000 CDN/Year. The net profit of the Kibbutz (after labour costs) is invested back into the Kibbutz. The net profit results in expansion within the Kibbutz, and beyond.

Though the Good Samaritan Act, the Occupy Movement has incorporated many socialist Kibbutz ideals. Ridding the World of Debt, and making sure we don't have Homeless people in our communities, runs in part with having housing and employment.

Each Canadian in the Workforce (or each citizen of Canada) earning a minimum $75,000/year would mean this; A greater amount of spending within the private sector (as it's easier to spend $75,000 than for a Billionaire to spend his Hundreds of Millions). The only people that are affected by previously proposed changes would be the top 1% income earners. For example, to raise $1Billion CDN through taxing those earning $40,000/year@10% would result in 250,000 people being taxed. Those earning $1Billion CDN/year taxed@10% would mean that 10 people would be taxed.

Why be sensitive to the wants of a multi-Billionaire?

Does anyone really care if Billionaire Coffers lose 10% of their Empires?

As we see today, around 1.3 million people are following these transpiring events with the number almost surely to grow.